Round 20 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.036 to 11.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.52 (−0.036)
In: 11.55
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
507
In: 512
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.9810.36+0.3815
Strategic Infrastructure9.699.690.0005
National Security6.366.39+0.0275
Human Capital14.8814.75−0.1262
Information & Influence11.9111.73−0.1824
Governance & Integrity13.8513.74−0.1046
Financial Strength11.5211.33−0.1868
Production & Innovation12.3412.28−0.0594
Trade & Investment13.4613.38−0.0735

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 334, plus 512 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 85 on actions (buy 85). 507 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 0.84 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies17 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems17 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation17 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.4 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.21+1.350.00−0.21+0.06
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.20+1.380.00−0.17−0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.15+1.340.00−0.180.00
Energy Technologies+1.10+1.300.00−0.200.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.67+0.840.00−0.17−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.60+0.640.00−0.07+0.03