Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.234 to 11.37.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.37 (−0.233)
- In: 11.60
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 72
- In: 24
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.31 | 6.60 | +0.288 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.89 | 10.68 | −0.215 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.54 | 0.000 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.65 | 14.62 | −0.035 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.81 | 10.59 | −0.221 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.53 | 15.33 | −0.191 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.14 | 12.35 | −0.790 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.91 | 12.57 | −0.335 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.62 | 12.02 | −0.605 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 374, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 87 on actions (build 17, buy 52, partner 17). 72 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills17 credits for 1.66 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −23.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.68 | +1.88 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.34 | +1.61 | 0.00 | −0.27 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +1.22 | +1.45 | 0.00 | −0.22 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.10 | +0.02 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.89 | 0.00 |