Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.197 to 12.03.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.03 (+0.197)
- In: 11.83
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 145
- In: 110
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.30 | 7.85 | +0.554 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.93 | 11.11 | +0.175 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.55 | 7.59 | +0.034 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.00 | 15.24 | +0.239 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.09 | 11.28 | +0.184 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.57 | +0.107 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.31 | 13.39 | +0.081 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.15 | 13.24 | +0.089 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.66 | 12.97 | +0.311 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 380, plus 110 carried in. Maintenance 251. Spent 94 on actions (buy 38, partner 56). 145 carried over.
- PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 0.85 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +15.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.99 | +1.94 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.95 | +1.91 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.47 | +1.30 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.09 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.81 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.77 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.05 |