Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.139 to 12.57.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.57 (+0.139)
- In: 12.43
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 328
- In: 299
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.51 | 9.96 | +0.451 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.93 | 10.96 | +0.025 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.99 | 7.05 | +0.053 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.90 | 15.96 | +0.060 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.43 | 12.59 | +0.157 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.35 | 15.35 | +0.002 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.65 | 13.66 | +0.013 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.42 | 13.67 | +0.243 | 5 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.68 | 13.93 | +0.248 | 5 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 416, plus 299 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 103 on actions (buy 62, partner 41). 328 carried over.
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.68 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies21 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies21 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.69 | +1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.68 | +1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.60 | +1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.89 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.81 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.75 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |