Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.092 to 12.43.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.43 (+0.091)
- In: 12.34
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 315
- In: 281
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.16 | 9.51 | +0.343 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.92 | 10.93 | +0.018 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.95 | 6.99 | +0.042 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.85 | 15.90 | +0.053 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.28 | 12.43 | +0.148 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.35 | 15.35 | −0.001 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.58 | 13.65 | +0.069 | 7 → 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.41 | 13.42 | +0.018 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.54 | 13.68 | +0.135 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 412, plus 281 carried in. Maintenance 278. Spent 101 on actions (build 20, buy 40, partner 40). 315 carried over.
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.79 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy20 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.87 | +1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.42 | +1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.90 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.81 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.47 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.36 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 |