Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.080 to 12.77.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.77 (+0.080)
- In: 12.69
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 343
- In: 317
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.23 | 10.26 | +0.029 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.98 | 11.00 | +0.019 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.09 | 7.13 | +0.041 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 16.18 | 16.30 | +0.124 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.79 | 12.88 | +0.093 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.35 | 15.35 | +0.001 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.66 | 13.69 | +0.029 | 5 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.82 | 13.85 | +0.030 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.07 | 14.42 | +0.349 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 429, plus 317 carried in. Maintenance 299. Spent 105 on actions (build 42, partner 63). 343 carried over.
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance21 credits for 1.53 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence21 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position21 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication21 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.78 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.77 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.76 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.51 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.47 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.29 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |