Round 16 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.093 to 13.01.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.01 (+0.093)
In: 12.91
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
344
In: 330
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.6411.03+0.3955 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure11.0311.11+0.0805 → 4
National Security7.177.29+0.1156
Human Capital16.4316.53+0.1051
Information & Influence13.2513.35+0.1013
Governance & Integrity15.3515.350.0003
Financial Strength13.7113.71+0.0082
Production & Innovation13.8713.88+0.0143
Trade & Investment14.7714.79+0.0204

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 433, plus 330 carried in. Maintenance 311. Spent 108 on actions (buy 86, partner 22). 344 carried over.

  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure22 credits for 1.19 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies22 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAir Power22 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation22 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.68+1.640.000.00+0.04
Artificial Intelligence+1.48+1.470.000.00+0.01
Air Power+0.88+0.850.000.00+0.03
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.63+0.590.000.00+0.03
Digital & AI Competence+0.57+0.550.000.00+0.02
Space Technologies+0.56+0.560.000.000.00