Round 18 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.190 to 13.33.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.33 (+0.190)
In: 13.14
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
310
In: 316
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.5411.87+0.3294
Strategic Infrastructure11.1811.30+0.1204
National Security7.397.64+0.2446
Human Capital16.6416.82+0.1741
Information & Influence13.5013.81+0.3113
Governance & Integrity15.3615.47+0.1113
Financial Strength13.9814.03+0.0502
Production & Innovation13.8914.15+0.2593
Trade & Investment14.8014.91+0.1143

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 433, plus 316 carried in. Maintenance 331. Spent 108 on actions (buy 65, partner 43). 310 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Operations22 credits for 1.39 levelsmctsahead of Maritime Power by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing22 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyMaritime Power22 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks22 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +22.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.74+1.540.00+0.20+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.07+0.970.00+0.100.00
Maritime Power+0.93+0.820.00+0.100.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.86+0.800.00+0.05+0.02
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.74+0.660.00+0.05+0.04
Digital & AI Competence+0.67+0.550.00+0.10+0.03