Round 19 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.200 to 13.53.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.53 (+0.200)
In: 13.33
Rank by index
21
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
299
In: 294
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.8712.07+0.1964
Strategic Infrastructure11.3011.48+0.1774
National Security7.647.97+0.3316
Human Capital16.8216.96+0.1421
Information & Influence13.8114.12+0.3083
Governance & Integrity15.4715.58+0.1123
Financial Strength14.0314.11+0.0812
Production & Innovation14.1514.37+0.2153 → 2
Trade & Investment14.9115.15+0.2343

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 456, plus 294 carried in. Maintenance 344. Spent 108 on actions (buy 43, partner 65). 299 carried over.

  • PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.13 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy22 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Infrastructure22 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace Operations22 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +7.4 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Operations+1.40+1.250.00+0.10+0.06
Maritime Power+0.93+0.820.00+0.10+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.85+0.780.00+0.05+0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.82+0.700.00+0.10+0.02
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.74+0.660.00+0.05+0.04
Energy Infrastructure+0.73+0.630.00+0.100.00