Round 20 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.253 to 13.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.79 (+0.253)
In: 13.53
Rank by index
19
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 1
Credits carried
275
In: 284
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.0712.65+0.5834 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure11.4811.67+0.1874
National Security7.978.23+0.2626 → 5
Human Capital16.9617.19+0.2311
Information & Influence14.1214.32+0.2063
Governance & Integrity15.5815.69+0.1143
Financial Strength14.1114.17+0.0622 → 1
Production & Innovation14.3714.78+0.4112 → 1
Trade & Investment15.1515.37+0.2233

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 462, plus 284 carried in. Maintenance 357. Spent 114 on actions (buy 114). 275 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.02 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies23 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion23 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems23 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation23 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +7.4 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3; National Security Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+2.08+1.970.00+0.10+0.01
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.76+1.530.00+0.20+0.04
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.73+1.520.00+0.20+0.01
Space Operations+1.44+1.250.00+0.10+0.09
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.31+1.060.00+0.20+0.06
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.21+1.020.00+0.200.00