Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.130 to 11.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.54 (+0.130)
- In: 11.41
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 171
- In: 120
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.91 | 7.17 | +0.251 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.23 | 10.36 | +0.131 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.73 | 6.76 | +0.026 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.99 | 15.17 | +0.175 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.37 | 10.66 | +0.291 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.05 | 15.05 | −0.002 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 13.15 | +0.019 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.98 | 13.11 | +0.133 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.28 | 12.43 | +0.149 | 8 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 373, plus 120 carried in. Maintenance 231. Spent 91 on actions (buy 55, partner 36). 171 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 0.97 levelsmctsahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation18 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies18 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.93 | +1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +1.32 | +1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.30 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.95 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.90 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |