Round 6 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.157 to 11.70.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.70 (+0.157)
In: 11.54
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
216
In: 162
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.177.73+0.5636
Strategic Infrastructure10.3610.42+0.0645
National Security6.766.80+0.0376
Human Capital15.1715.30+0.1362 → 1
Information & Influence10.6610.99+0.3236
Governance & Integrity15.0515.04−0.0045
Financial Strength13.1513.18+0.0268
Production & Innovation13.1113.12+0.0015
Trade & Investment12.4312.70+0.2716

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 383, plus 162 carried in. Maintenance 236. Spent 93 on actions (buy 56, partner 37). 216 carried over.

  • BuySpace Technologies19 credits for 1.18 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by -1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+2.05+1.960.000.00+0.09
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.93+1.930.000.000.00
Space Technologies+1.18+1.180.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.96+0.970.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.96+0.960.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.93+0.920.000.00+0.01