Round 14 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.125 to 11.29.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.29 (+0.124)
In: 11.16
Rank by index
34
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
385
In: 363
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.688.87+0.1905
Strategic Infrastructure9.549.53−0.0105
National Security6.046.17+0.1275
Human Capital15.0215.04+0.0192
Information & Influence11.2511.39+0.1336
Governance & Integrity14.0714.06−0.0126
Financial Strength11.0811.30+0.22513 → 11
Production & Innovation12.2612.39+0.1395
Trade & Investment12.5112.81+0.3096 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 344, plus 363 carried in. Maintenance 230. Spent 91 on actions (buy 55, partner 37). 385 carried over.

  • PartnerAir Power18 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection18 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power18 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems18 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 13 to 11; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.65+1.640.000.00+0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.53+1.520.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.00+0.960.000.00+0.04
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.76+0.760.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.70+0.700.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.70+0.710.000.00−0.01