Round 15 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.091 to 11.38.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.38 (+0.091)
In: 11.29
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
399
In: 366
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.879.31+0.4455
Strategic Infrastructure9.539.530.0005
National Security6.176.28+0.1045
Human Capital15.0415.06+0.0192
Information & Influence11.3911.50+0.1166 → 5
Governance & Integrity14.0614.05−0.0126
Financial Strength11.3011.35+0.05011
Production & Innovation12.3912.39−0.0075
Trade & Investment12.8112.92+0.1045 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 353, plus 366 carried in. Maintenance 235. Spent 86 on actions (build 17, buy 52, partner 17). 399 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance17 credits for 0.62 levelsmctsahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation17 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies17 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation17 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.49+1.510.000.00−0.02
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.48+1.480.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+1.46+1.460.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.75+0.770.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.74+0.710.000.00+0.02
Air Power+0.69+0.660.000.00+0.02