Round 16 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.081 to 11.46.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.46 (+0.081)
In: 11.38
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
409
In: 379
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.319.65+0.3385
Strategic Infrastructure9.539.53−0.0055
National Security6.286.38+0.1075
Human Capital15.0615.08+0.0192
Information & Influence11.5011.75+0.2455 → 4
Governance & Integrity14.0514.04−0.0096
Financial Strength11.3511.39+0.03911
Production & Innovation12.3912.38−0.0025
Trade & Investment12.9212.92−0.0016

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 359, plus 379 carried in. Maintenance 240. Spent 88 on actions (buy 35, partner 53). 409 carried over.

  • PartnerMaritime Power18 credits for 1.23 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by -1 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence18 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies18 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.46+1.460.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.39+1.380.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Air Power+0.67+0.660.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.65+0.620.000.00+0.02
Space Technologies+0.53+0.520.000.00+0.01