Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.150 to 11.51.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.51 (+0.150)
- In: 11.36
- Rank by index
- 33
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 106
- In: 74
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.55 | 6.94 | +0.392 | 7 → 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.68 | 10.71 | +0.033 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.54 | +0.001 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.62 | 14.84 | +0.220 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.59 | 10.93 | +0.333 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.33 | 15.40 | +0.063 | 4 → 3 |
| Financial Strength | 12.37 | 12.40 | +0.037 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.50 | 12.76 | +0.256 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.02 | 12.04 | +0.017 | 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 359, plus 74 carried in. Maintenance 232. Spent 95 on actions (buy 76, partner 19). 106 carried over.
- BuyTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 0.78 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -2 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.8 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.86 | +1.81 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.71 | +1.66 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.66 | +1.64 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.50 | +1.45 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +1.49 | +1.44 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.16 |