Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.110 to 11.62.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.62 (+0.110)
- In: 11.51
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 33
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 147
- In: 100
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.94 | 7.15 | +0.213 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.71 | 10.79 | +0.084 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.55 | +0.006 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.84 | 15.00 | +0.165 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.93 | 11.07 | +0.147 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.40 | 15.46 | +0.064 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 12.40 | 12.54 | +0.133 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.76 | 12.78 | +0.023 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.04 | 12.19 | +0.151 | 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 375, plus 100 carried in. Maintenance 238. Spent 90 on actions (build 36, buy 18, partner 36). 147 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance18 credits for 0.58 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by -1 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection18 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.8 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.02 | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.87 | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 |
| Space Technologies | +0.78 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.76 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.66 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.58 |