Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.121 to 12.59.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.59 (+0.121)
- In: 12.47
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 275
- In: 230
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.12 | 9.44 | +0.318 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.24 | 11.35 | +0.106 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.96 | 8.01 | +0.053 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.54 | 15.59 | +0.051 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.43 | 12.58 | +0.150 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.49 | 15.51 | +0.020 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.56 | 13.65 | +0.083 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.50 | 13.53 | +0.027 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.40 | 13.68 | +0.281 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 431, plus 230 carried in. Maintenance 283. Spent 103 on actions (build 21, buy 41, partner 41). 275 carried over.
- PartnerSensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.48 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies21 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure21 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +0.9 points this round.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.82 | +1.79 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.92 | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.84 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.09 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.81 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.75 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.65 | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 |