Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.117 to 12.71.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.71 (+0.117)
- In: 12.59
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 299
- In: 261
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.44 | 9.68 | +0.239 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.35 | 11.47 | +0.119 | 5 |
| National Security | 8.01 | 8.08 | +0.067 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.59 | 15.80 | +0.207 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.58 | 12.61 | +0.027 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.51 | 15.53 | +0.020 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.65 | 13.72 | +0.074 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.53 | 13.55 | +0.026 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.68 | 13.95 | +0.270 | 5 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 435, plus 261 carried in. Maintenance 290. Spent 108 on actions (build 43, buy 43, partner 22). 299 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.43 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by -4 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education22 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +0.9 points this round.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.30 | +1.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.17 | +1.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.92 | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.80 | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.80 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.67 | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |