Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.095 to 12.80.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.80 (+0.095)
- In: 12.71
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 318
- In: 284
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.68 | 9.71 | +0.029 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.47 | 11.52 | +0.053 | 5 |
| National Security | 8.08 | 8.16 | +0.084 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.80 | 15.94 | +0.141 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.61 | 12.78 | +0.175 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.53 | 15.55 | +0.020 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.72 | 13.76 | +0.039 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.55 | 13.73 | +0.175 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.95 | 14.09 | +0.143 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 442, plus 284 carried in. Maintenance 299. Spent 109 on actions (build 65, buy 22, partner 22). 318 carried over.
- BuildAir Power22 credits for 1.08 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -1 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education22 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence22 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +0.9 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.06 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.97 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.80 | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.77 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.31 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Air Power | +0.30 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |