Round 13 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.155 to 12.96.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.96 (+0.155)
In: 12.80
Rank by index
22
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
342
In: 302
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.7110.18+0.4685
Strategic Infrastructure11.5211.57+0.0545
National Security8.168.23+0.0676
Human Capital15.9416.08+0.1431
Information & Influence12.7813.04+0.2584 → 3
Governance & Integrity15.5515.57+0.0203
Financial Strength13.7613.82+0.0571
Production & Innovation13.7314.01+0.2774 → 3
Trade & Investment14.0914.14+0.0484

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 455, plus 302 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 110 on actions (build 22, buy 66, partner 22). 342 carried over.

  • BuildCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy22 credits for 1.51 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by -2 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies22 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies22 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies22 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +0.9 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.78+1.760.00+0.010.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.74+1.720.00+0.010.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.73+1.670.00+0.03+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.97+0.920.00+0.01+0.04
Advanced Education+0.77+0.740.00+0.01+0.01
Space Technologies+0.64+0.610.00+0.01+0.02