Round 2 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.099 to 11.65.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.65 (+0.099)
In: 11.55
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
55
In: 24
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.256.56+0.3067
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5914.67+0.0753
Information & Influence10.6211.04+0.4256
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.15+0.0699 → 8
Production & Innovation12.9712.98+0.0125
Trade & Investment12.6012.60+0.0056

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 356, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 238. Spent 87 on actions (build 35, buy 35, partner 17). 55 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance17 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills17 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.55+2.550.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.61+1.610.000.000.00
Space Technologies+1.45+1.450.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.67+0.670.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.41+0.180.000.00+0.23
Labour & Employment+0.080.000.000.00+0.08