Round 3 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.083 to 11.73.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.73 (+0.083)
In: 11.65
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
83
In: 53
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.566.95+0.3957 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.6714.78+0.1113
Information & Influence11.0411.06+0.0196
Governance & Integrity15.4615.46+0.0013
Financial Strength13.1513.19+0.0398
Production & Innovation12.9813.13+0.1545
Trade & Investment12.6012.63+0.0256

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 361, plus 53 carried in. Maintenance 241. Spent 89 on actions (build 36, buy 36, partner 18). 83 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 0.73 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by -8 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence18 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+2.25+1.930.000.00+0.32
Space Technologies+1.39+1.390.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.06+1.060.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.00+1.000.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.24+0.240.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.23+0.180.000.00+0.05