Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.107 to 11.93.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.93 (+0.107)
- In: 11.82
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 152
- In: 110
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.25 | 7.51 | +0.261 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.93 | 11.00 | +0.071 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.55 | 7.57 | +0.021 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.96 | 15.18 | +0.218 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.07 | 11.22 | +0.147 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.46 | +0.002 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.25 | 13.33 | +0.075 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.29 | 13.31 | +0.020 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.66 | 12.81 | +0.151 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 385, plus 110 carried in. Maintenance 250. Spent 93 on actions (build 37, buy 19, partner 37). 152 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 7 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.93 | +1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.30 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.92 | +0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.79 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.66 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.64 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |