Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.142 to 12.07.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.07 (+0.142)
- In: 11.93
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 184
- In: 144
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.51 | 8.02 | +0.510 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.00 | 11.01 | +0.014 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.57 | 7.61 | +0.041 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.18 | 15.36 | +0.181 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.22 | 11.49 | +0.273 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.47 | +0.002 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.33 | 13.42 | +0.089 | 8 → 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.31 | 13.31 | +0.006 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.81 | 12.97 | +0.162 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 390, plus 144 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 96 on actions (buy 39, partner 58). 184 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.59 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 5 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.97 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +2.09 | +1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.95 | +1.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.52 | +1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.97 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.92 | +0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.65 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |