Round 8 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.143 to 12.33.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.33 (+0.143)
In: 12.19
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
238
In: 201
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.138.66+0.5345
Strategic Infrastructure11.1011.19+0.0955
National Security7.667.70+0.0386
Human Capital15.5015.64+0.1371
Information & Influence11.9312.26+0.3216 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.4715.47+0.0023
Financial Strength13.5013.53+0.0296 → 5
Production & Innovation13.3213.32+0.0035
Trade & Investment13.1113.24+0.1316

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 404, plus 201 carried in. Maintenance 268. Spent 99 on actions (build 40, buy 59). 238 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.50 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.82+1.810.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.78+1.780.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.59+1.590.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.99+0.950.000.00+0.04
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.80+0.800.000.000.00