Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.248 to 12.09.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.09 (−0.248)
- In: 12.33
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 256
- In: 226
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.66 | 8.63 | −0.036 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.19 | 10.74 | −0.452 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.70 | 7.21 | −0.488 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.64 | 15.59 | −0.051 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.26 | 12.35 | +0.090 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.47 | 15.24 | −0.234 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.53 | 13.15 | −0.377 | 5 → 6 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.32 | 13.09 | −0.230 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.24 | 12.79 | −0.454 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 408, plus 226 carried in. Maintenance 277. Spent 101 on actions (buy 61, partner 40). 256 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.53 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 5 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −26.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.56 | +1.80 | 0.00 | −0.24 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.45 | +1.67 | 0.00 | −0.23 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | +0.03 |
| Maritime Power | −0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.90 | +0.01 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.90 | +0.08 |