Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.139 to 12.43.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.43 (+0.138)
- In: 12.30
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 323
- In: 290
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.39 | 9.77 | +0.372 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.87 | 10.95 | +0.084 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.28 | 7.30 | +0.018 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.78 | 15.81 | +0.031 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.38 | 12.53 | +0.158 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.24 | 15.24 | −0.001 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.25 | 13.24 | −0.001 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.09 | 13.47 | +0.379 | 5 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.39 | 13.60 | +0.209 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 415, plus 290 carried in. Maintenance 278. Spent 103 on actions (buy 83, partner 21). 323 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts
- BuyEnergy Technologies21 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.72 | +1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.62 | +1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.25 | +1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.01 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.91 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.76 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |