Round 11 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.084 to 12.30.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.30 (+0.085)
In: 12.21
Rank by index
27
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
305
In: 269
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.269.39+0.1325
Strategic Infrastructure10.7810.87+0.0925
National Security7.257.28+0.0346
Human Capital15.6215.78+0.1531
Information & Influence12.3612.38+0.0195
Governance & Integrity15.2415.240.0004
Financial Strength13.2413.25+0.0042
Production & Innovation13.1113.09−0.0115
Trade & Investment13.0613.39+0.3335

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 412, plus 269 carried in. Maintenance 274. Spent 102 on actions (build 20, buy 41, partner 41). 305 carried over.

  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.23 levelsmctsahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure20 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies20 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+1.24+1.230.000.00+0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.10+1.090.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.98+0.900.000.00+0.09
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.64+0.620.000.00+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.59+0.620.000.00−0.02