Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.145 to 12.67.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.67 (+0.145)
- In: 12.53
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 353
- In: 324
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.95 | 10.32 | +0.376 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.97 | 10.98 | +0.011 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.36 | 7.44 | +0.075 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.81 | 15.85 | +0.039 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.82 | 12.98 | +0.155 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.23 | 15.23 | −0.001 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.28 | 13.55 | +0.275 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.49 | 13.50 | +0.013 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.84 | 14.20 | +0.360 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 427, plus 324 carried in. Maintenance 292. Spent 106 on actions (build 21, buy 64, partner 21). 353 carried over.
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing21 credits for 1.70 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence21 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power21 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.75 | +1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.70 | +1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.61 | +1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.95 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.83 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.80 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |