Round 2043
Round 17 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.072 to 12.51.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.51 (−0.072)
- In: 12.58
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 268
- In: 291
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.52 | 10.51 | −0.009 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.87 | 10.80 | −0.066 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.56 | 7.58 | +0.019 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.80 | 15.74 | −0.062 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.08 | 12.88 | −0.201 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.01 | 14.90 | −0.113 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.20 | 13.05 | −0.152 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.15 | 13.08 | −0.066 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.00 | 14.01 | +0.005 | 5 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 367, plus 291 carried in. Maintenance 297. Spent 93 on actions (build 19, buy 37, partner 37). 268 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.45 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 4 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −10.3 points this round.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.21 | +1.43 | 0.00 | −0.22 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.68 | +0.88 | 0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.60 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.52 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.20 | +0.02 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.39 | +0.58 | 0.00 | −0.20 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.38 | +0.01 |