Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.040 to 12.58.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.58 (−0.039)
- In: 12.62
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 306
- In: 340
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.40 | 10.52 | +0.113 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.93 | 10.87 | −0.057 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.53 | 7.56 | +0.030 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.87 | 15.80 | −0.060 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.90 | 13.08 | +0.183 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.12 | 15.01 | −0.111 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.37 | 13.20 | −0.168 | 2 → 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.33 | 13.15 | −0.179 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.11 | 14.00 | −0.107 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 371, plus 340 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 107 on actions (build 21, buy 64, partner 21). 306 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts
- BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance21 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −10.3 points this round.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.47 | +1.68 | 0.00 | −0.22 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.40 | +1.61 | 0.00 | −0.20 | −0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.20 | +1.55 | 0.00 | −0.39 | +0.04 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.60 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.53 | +0.68 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.02 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.39 | +0.58 | 0.00 | −0.20 | +0.01 |