Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.339 to 11.30.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.30 (−0.339)
- In: 11.63
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 81
- In: 53
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.64 | 6.61 | −0.033 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.16 | −0.701 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.61 | 6.93 | −0.683 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.67 | 14.78 | +0.111 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.79 | 9.95 | −0.834 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.05 | −0.411 | 3 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.11 | 13.11 | +0.007 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.98 | 12.83 | −0.147 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.25 | −0.355 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 358, plus 53 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 89 on actions (build 18, buy 53, partner 18). 81 carried over.
- BuyAir Power18 credits for 1.39 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by -1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −32.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.50 | +1.89 | 0.00 | −0.38 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.42 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.30 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.29 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.25 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.22 | 0.00 |