Round 4 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.117 to 11.41.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.41 (+0.117)
In: 11.30
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
124
In: 77
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.616.89+0.2827 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.1610.23+0.0675
National Security6.937.01+0.0796
Human Capital14.7814.92+0.1443 → 2
Information & Influence9.9510.38+0.4246
Governance & Integrity15.0515.050.0005
Financial Strength13.1113.13+0.0169 → 8
Production & Innovation12.8312.84+0.0125
Trade & Investment12.2512.27+0.0278

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 364, plus 77 carried in. Maintenance 227. Spent 90 on actions (build 18, buy 54, partner 18). 124 carried over.

  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance18 credits for 1.76 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.77+1.760.000.00+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.45+1.450.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.30+1.300.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.76+0.740.000.00+0.02
Air Power+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.68+0.680.000.000.00