Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.119 to 11.64.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.64 (+0.119)
- In: 11.52
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 195
- In: 153
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.14 | 7.49 | +0.351 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.29 | 10.29 | +0.002 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.03 | 7.07 | +0.037 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.10 | 15.27 | +0.172 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 10.67 | 10.85 | +0.173 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.05 | 15.04 | −0.004 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.18 | 13.23 | +0.050 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.83 | 12.97 | +0.138 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.42 | 12.57 | +0.154 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 369, plus 153 carried in. Maintenance 235. Spent 91 on actions (build 37, buy 37, partner 18). 195 carried over.
- BuildAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing18 credits for 1.12 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 2 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation18 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling18 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +2.02 | +1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.03 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.97 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.96 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.92 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.63 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |