Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.142 to 11.50.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.50 (−0.142)
- In: 11.64
- Rank by index
- 33
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 232
- In: 185
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.49 | 7.77 | +0.276 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.29 | 10.04 | −0.258 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.07 | 6.98 | −0.090 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.27 | 15.21 | −0.065 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 10.85 | 10.54 | −0.309 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.04 | 14.88 | −0.162 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.23 | 12.90 | −0.324 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.97 | 12.85 | −0.118 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.57 | 12.35 | −0.227 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 380, plus 185 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 92 on actions (buy 74, partner 18). 232 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 0.97 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -1 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing18 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection18 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −17.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +2.10 | +2.24 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.16 | +1.33 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.68 | +0.97 | 0.00 | −0.29 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.61 | −0.02 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.49 | −0.03 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.51 | −0.01 |