Round 8 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.127 to 11.63.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.63 (+0.127)
In: 11.50
Rank by index
32
In: 33
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
268
In: 220
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.778.00+0.2316
Strategic Infrastructure10.0410.11+0.0725
National Security6.987.01+0.0276
Human Capital15.2115.31+0.1001
Information & Influence10.5411.11+0.5696
Governance & Integrity14.8814.88−0.0055
Financial Strength12.9012.95+0.0458
Production & Innovation12.8512.85+0.0015
Trade & Investment12.3512.45+0.1047

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 382, plus 220 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 95 on actions (build 19, buy 38, partner 38). 268 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.57 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 3 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.81+1.810.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.73+1.690.000.00+0.05
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.88+0.880.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.80+0.780.000.00+0.03
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.76+0.730.000.00+0.03
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.64+0.610.000.00+0.03