Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.103 to 11.29.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.29 (+0.104)
- In: 11.19
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 35
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 451
- In: 413
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.70 | 8.71 | +0.012 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.59 | 9.59 | +0.001 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.18 | 6.27 | +0.094 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.18 | 15.18 | −0.007 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.31 | 11.45 | +0.134 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.09 | 14.08 | −0.012 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.39 | 11.38 | −0.015 | 10 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.12 | 12.39 | +0.277 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.10 | 12.54 | +0.441 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 363, plus 413 carried in. Maintenance 231. Spent 94 on actions (buy 38, partner 57). 451 carried over.
- BuyMaritime Power19 credits for 1.54 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position19 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.95 | +1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.80 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.79 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.75 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |