Round 15 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.149 to 11.44.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.44 (+0.149)
In: 11.29
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
468
In: 428
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.719.16+0.4495
Strategic Infrastructure9.599.60+0.0065
National Security6.276.40+0.1295
Human Capital15.1815.17−0.0051
Information & Influence11.4511.59+0.1416 → 5
Governance & Integrity14.0814.06−0.0116
Financial Strength11.3811.63+0.2509
Production & Innovation12.3912.43+0.0374
Trade & Investment12.5412.89+0.3486

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 365, plus 428 carried in. Maintenance 235. Spent 91 on actions (buy 73, partner 18). 468 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.07 levelsmctsahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation18 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems18 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power18 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation18 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.63+1.630.000.000.00
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.60+1.590.000.00+0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.53+1.510.000.00+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.07+1.070.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.84+0.810.000.00+0.03
Global Value Chain Position+0.81+0.780.000.00+0.03