Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.089 to 11.53.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.53 (+0.089)
- In: 11.44
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 478
- In: 444
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.16 | 9.64 | +0.473 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.60 | 9.60 | −0.001 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.40 | 6.44 | +0.034 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.17 | 15.16 | −0.006 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.59 | 11.73 | +0.146 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.06 | 14.06 | −0.009 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.63 | 11.63 | +0.001 | 9 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.43 | 12.58 | +0.146 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.89 | 12.91 | +0.020 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 367, plus 444 carried in. Maintenance 243. Spent 91 on actions (build 18, buy 73). 478 carried over.
- BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 0.47 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 9 per cent
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies18 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies18 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence18 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.57 | +1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.51 | +1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.49 | +1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.00 | +0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.86 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Space Operations | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 |