Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.056 to 11.55.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.55 (−0.057)
- In: 11.61
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 492
- In: 463
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.03 | 10.02 | −0.017 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.60 | 9.57 | −0.025 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.45 | 6.45 | +0.007 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.15 | 15.14 | −0.009 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.91 | 11.74 | −0.169 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.05 | 13.94 | −0.103 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.65 | 11.48 | −0.168 | 9 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.59 | 12.44 | −0.157 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.05 | 13.18 | +0.136 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 377, plus 463 carried in. Maintenance 255. Spent 94 on actions (buy 56, partner 38). 492 carried over.
- BuySpace Technologies19 credits for 0.95 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −27.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Space Technologies | +1.30 | +1.48 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.93 | +1.04 | 0.00 | −0.10 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.66 | +0.77 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.06 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.63 | +0.79 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.54 | +0.72 | 0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.47 | +0.57 | 0.00 | −0.09 | −0.01 |