Round 19 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.029 to 11.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.52 (−0.029)
In: 11.55
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 1
Credits carried
446
In: 467
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.029.98−0.0325
Strategic Infrastructure9.579.63+0.0555
National Security6.456.47+0.0185
Human Capital15.1415.02−0.1231 → 2
Information & Influence11.7411.77+0.0334
Governance & Integrity13.9413.84−0.1056
Financial Strength11.4811.30−0.18210
Production & Innovation12.4412.27−0.1654
Trade & Investment13.1813.42+0.2385 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 327, plus 467 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 94 on actions (buy 57, partner 38). 446 carried over.

  • BuyCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Infrastructure19 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems19 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.2 points this round.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.43+1.550.00−0.17+0.05
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.39+1.520.00−0.17+0.04
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+1.07+1.240.00−0.16−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.55+0.620.00−0.070.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.54+0.720.00−0.170.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.49+0.690.00−0.18−0.02