Round 20 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.025 to 11.50.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.50 (−0.024)
In: 11.52
Rank by index
33
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
412
In: 424
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.9810.27+0.2815
Strategic Infrastructure9.639.62−0.0015
National Security6.476.50+0.0255
Human Capital15.0214.90−0.1232
Information & Influence11.7711.81+0.0394
Governance & Integrity13.8413.74−0.1026
Financial Strength11.3011.12−0.18310
Production & Innovation12.2712.10−0.1754
Trade & Investment13.4213.44+0.0183 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 323, plus 424 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 82 on actions (buy 82). 412 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation16 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies16 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence16 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing16 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance16 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.2 points this round.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.24+1.320.00−0.20+0.12
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.12+1.300.00−0.180.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.09+1.300.00−0.19−0.02
Artificial Intelligence+0.82+1.170.00−0.35+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.68+0.880.00−0.200.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.62+0.760.00−0.17+0.03