Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.189 to 12.02.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.02 (+0.188)
- In: 11.83
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 129
- In: 101
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.40 | 7.85 | +0.452 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.93 | 11.10 | +0.169 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.55 | 7.66 | +0.104 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.00 | 15.30 | +0.303 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.12 | 11.24 | +0.121 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.57 | +0.106 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.15 | 13.20 | +0.051 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.16 | 13.25 | +0.089 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.68 | 12.98 | +0.304 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 370, plus 101 carried in. Maintenance 250. Spent 92 on actions (build 18, buy 55, partner 18). 129 carried over.
- BuySpace Operations18 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing18 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +15.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.91 | +1.87 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.42 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.42 | +1.37 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.08 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.01 |
| Space Operations | +0.88 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.76 | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.05 |