Round 9 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.099 to 12.24.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.24 (+0.100)
In: 12.14
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
234
In: 209
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.428.67+0.2525
Strategic Infrastructure10.7910.87+0.0785
National Security7.107.23+0.1376
Human Capital15.9115.90−0.0021
Information & Influence11.8512.02+0.1765 → 4
Governance & Integrity15.3415.34−0.0023
Financial Strength13.3213.320.0008
Production & Innovation13.2513.40+0.1445
Trade & Investment13.2613.38+0.1146

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 387, plus 209 carried in. Maintenance 265. Spent 97 on actions (buy 58, partner 39). 234 carried over.

  • BuyAir Power19 credits for 1.49 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.77+1.770.000.000.00
Air Power+1.21+1.180.000.00+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.01+0.970.000.00+0.04
Economic Output & Productivity+1.00+1.000.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.63+0.620.000.00+0.01