Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.122 to 12.36.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.36 (+0.122)
- In: 12.24
- Rank by index
- 26
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 250
- In: 222
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.67 | 9.33 | +0.659 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.87 | 10.88 | +0.013 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.23 | 7.34 | +0.108 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.90 | 15.90 | −0.001 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.02 | 12.03 | +0.011 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.34 | 15.34 | −0.002 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.32 | 13.35 | +0.034 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.40 | 13.41 | +0.017 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.38 | 13.63 | +0.257 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 395, plus 222 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 97 on actions (buy 58, partner 39). 250 carried over.
- PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.17 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies19 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.88 | +1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.27 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.78 | +1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.72 | +1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +1.21 | +1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.87 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.78 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |