Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.112 to 12.55.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.55 (+0.112)
- In: 12.44
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 258
- In: 244
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.53 | 9.77 | +0.238 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.89 | 10.92 | +0.022 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.40 | 7.47 | +0.072 | 6 → 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.93 | 15.98 | +0.056 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.30 | 12.56 | +0.262 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.34 | 15.34 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.37 | 13.37 | +0.004 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.42 | 13.65 | +0.233 | 5 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.76 | 13.88 | +0.118 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 398, plus 244 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 99 on actions (build 40, buy 40, partner 20). 258 carried over.
- BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.11 levelsmctsahead of Maritime Power by 0 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. National Security Tier 6 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.64 | +1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.54 | +1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.81 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.73 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.69 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Advanced Education | +0.46 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |