Round 13 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.128 to 12.68.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.68 (+0.128)
In: 12.55
Rank by index
24
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
256
In: 245
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.7710.17+0.4045
Strategic Infrastructure10.9210.94+0.0195
National Security7.477.59+0.1215
Human Capital15.9816.04+0.0571
Information & Influence12.5612.83+0.2734
Governance & Integrity15.3415.340.0003
Financial Strength13.3713.37+0.0018
Production & Innovation13.6513.80+0.1463
Trade & Investment13.8814.02+0.1354

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 400, plus 245 carried in. Maintenance 290. Spent 99 on actions (buy 80, partner 20). 256 carried over.

  • PartnerMaritime Power20 credits for 1.30 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 4 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.95+1.950.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.61+1.610.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.54+1.540.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.96+0.960.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.73+0.730.000.000.00
Maritime Power+0.47+0.430.000.00+0.03