Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.229 to 13.75.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.75 (+0.229)
- In: 13.52
- Rank by index
- 20
- In: 21
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 197
- In: 209
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 12.26 | 12.89 | +0.630 | 4 → 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.42 | 11.61 | +0.189 | 4 |
| National Security | 8.05 | 8.20 | +0.152 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.68 | 16.91 | +0.230 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 14.05 | 14.38 | +0.332 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.56 | 15.67 | +0.111 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.87 | 13.93 | +0.061 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 14.71 | 14.84 | +0.126 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.06 | 15.30 | +0.235 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 459, plus 209 carried in. Maintenance 358. Spent 113 on actions (buy 113). 197 carried over.
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.48 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance23 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems23 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation23 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +7.3 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.80 | +1.33 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.28 |
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.77 | +1.53 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.05 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.64 | +1.55 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.04 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.59 | +1.48 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.31 | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.06 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.81 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.01 |