Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.187 to 13.52.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.52 (+0.187)
- In: 13.33
- Rank by index
- 21
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 220
- In: 219
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.93 | 12.26 | +0.322 | 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.24 | 11.42 | +0.177 | 4 |
| National Security | 7.91 | 8.05 | +0.136 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.57 | 16.68 | +0.109 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.85 | 14.05 | +0.197 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.45 | 15.56 | +0.111 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.79 | 13.87 | +0.077 | 8 → 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 14.37 | 14.71 | +0.343 | 2 → 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.85 | 15.06 | +0.213 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 453, plus 219 carried in. Maintenance 345. Spent 108 on actions (build 22, buy 65, partner 22). 220 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence22 credits for 0.51 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Infrastructure22 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies22 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +7.3 points this round.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7; Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.68 | +1.48 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.58 | +1.48 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.85 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.82 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | +0.73 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 |
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.06 |